The Eastern Conference Finals of the 2023 NBA playoffs will see the Miami Heat take on the Boston Celtics in what is expected to be an intense clash. The first game of this best-of-seven series will take place at TD Garden in Boston, with tip-off scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday night.
Series Preview and Current Odds
This matchup features two evenly matched teams that split their regular-season series (2-2). The Celtics enter the series as the 8.5-point favorite, with an over/under of 213 points according to Caesars Sportsbook. These odds are largely based on the Celtics’ home court advantage, as they have a 6-1 ATS record when playing on two days of rest.
Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends
The Miami Heat has been a solid team against the spread, covering in 13 of their last 18 games played in Boston. Additionally, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. In contrast, the Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days rest.
Expert Picks and Analysis
SportsLine’s expert, Matthew Severance, is leaning towards the over on the point total and has identified a critical X-factor he says makes one side of the spread a must-back. Severance has established himself as a top expert in multiple sports, delivering a 99-52-1 ATS record over his past 152 NBA picks, which returned $3,310 for $100 players.
How The Teams Match Up
The Heat’s Max Strus has been a consistent scorer for Miami, with 10.9 points per game and shooting 37% from beyond the arc in the playoffs. This is due in large part to his quick release, as he moves without the ball and creates space on the court. Miami also has a reliable veteran playmaker in Kyle Lowry, who finished with 11 points and nine assists in the close-out win over the New York Knicks.
The Celtics have a tough two-way force in Marcus Smart, who averages 15.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game in the playoffs. Smart is exceptional on defense due to his instincts and quick hands, and he can create his own shot while setting up teammates. Additionally, Malcolm Brogdon, who comes off the bench for the Celtics, provides scoring and playmaking ability, with 14.8 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game in the postseason.
Editorial and Advice
While the odds favor the Celtics, the Heat have proven to be a formidable team against the spread when playing in Boston. Both teams possess unique strengths and will likely require tactical adjustments as the series progresses.
The NBA playoffs are always unpredictable, but this series promises to be an exciting competition between two talented teams. Fans should expect strong performances from key players on both sides, which is sure to lead to plenty of close games down the stretch. As for advice, bettors should consider paying attention to the X-factor identified by Severance when making their picks.
<< photo by Dani Hart >>
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