<< photo by Tima Miroshnichenko >>
United’s current form has been inconsistent, with their offense struggling to hit the back of the net. Marcus Rashford has been slowing down as the season ends, and United does not have a striker good enough to make up for it. Despite United’s dry spell in front of the goal, the odds are in their favor; they have the money line lean in their favor, and their handicap suggests that they are the favorites to win. The odds for both teams to score are even at most sportsbooks.
One of the main reasons for United’s current fourth-place standing has been their defense. They have kept clean sheets in their last six Premier League matches, and even when they were breached, goalkeeper David de Gea remained one of the best shot-stoppers in the Premier League. United conceded under 1.0 expected goals in three of their last six matches and were unfortunate to concede a late penalty against Brighton, which led to their draw.
West Ham has struggled to score consistently; they have only scored two goals in their last four matches, but more worryingly, they haven’t been able to keep a clean sheet in their last eight league matches before their loss to Manchester City. The odds suggest that West Ham will have a hard time breaking down Manchester United’s defense.
As for the best bet, the odds of West Ham failing to score are at +220 (BetMGM). It is an exceptional value for a visiting clean sheet, given that United’s defense has been solid with Luke Shaw in at center-back to replace the injured Harry Maguire. United has also been good defensively, conceding a paltry 0.93 xG per match over their last six Premier League games.
Finally, for the prop bet, Marcus Rashford to score and Manchester United to win has odds of +188 (BetMGM). Rashford has been heavily involved in creating scoring opportunities, with 4.42 xG over his last eight league matches. West Ham keeper Lukasz Fabianski has not been one of the better goalkeepers in the league this season, so Rashford could find opportunities to strike in this match.
In conclusion, this match will be a crucial one for both teams, but Manchester United appears to have the upper hand. West Ham will need to improve defensively and take their chances in front of the goal if they are to have a chance of pulling off an upset. Manchester United will have to rely on their solid defense to keep their top-four hopes alive.
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